USA vs. Germany Prediction on September 8, 2023

Match info

The 2023 FIBA World Cup for men’s basketball is down to the final four. On Friday, September 8, the USA and Germany will square off in Pasay, Philippines, to determine who advances to the final on Sunday. The important match-up is broken down by Bookmaker Expert, who also offers a prediction for the 8:40 p.m. start time at the Mall of Asia Arena encounter.

Meeting statistics

Prior to falling to Lithuania, the USA (5-1) defeated Jordan, New Zealand, Greece, and Montenegro. With a decisive victory over Italy in the quarterfinals, they recovered and secured a spot in the 2023 FIBA World Cup semifinals. The only undefeated team still in the competition is Germany (6-0). Australia, Japan, Finland, Georgia, Slovenia, and most recently Latvia are among the nations they’ve defeated.

Given Italy was a match built for the USA, no wonder they completely outclassed them in every facet of the game. With big men who play traditional FIBA basketball, the Americans have had difficulty thus far. Simply put, Italy lacked one. The Italian offense was similarly appalling. Although the USA’s defense might be somewhat blamed, Italy’s own inefficiency was mostly to blame. On the other hand, Dennis Schroeder had a terrible night for Germany versus Latvia, making only 4 of 26 field goal attempts, including 12 misses in a row. Germany crossed the finish line and demonstrated the strength of their team despite that. By a score of 44-6, Germany’s bench defeated the rival’s.

The matchup between Daniel Theis and Jaren Jackson Jr. might be crucial. “JJJ“ has performed poorly for the USA at the “position 5“ and his subs, Paolo Banchero and Walker Kessler, also don’t exactly suit the mold. With Johannes Voigtmann, another big man who goes in for Theis, Germany has the muscle to make things difficult for the United States. It will take some time for the other one-on-one fight to begin because Tyrese Haliburton doesn’t start for the USA. The outcome of this game may depend on how he performs against Schroeder, who’ll undoubtedly be stronger than he was in the previous match.

In the victory over Latvia, Franz Wagner gave no indication that his ankle ailment was affecting him. Although he was a substitute in the match, the Orlando Magic player was essential to Germany’s victory. Another strong night will be necessary for Germany’s bench though. With the fire that his sibling Moritz brings and the talent of Maodo Lo, Germany has depth. That could be crucial given that the USA has thus far been able to rely on its backups. Simply said, this time, this tactic could fail. The USA’s head coach, Steve Kerr, has used the same starting five in each of their games thus far. This can turn out to be another difficult day, like the one with Lithuania, for him unless he changes it.

For some people, the fact that the USA is the game’s gigantic favorite at online sportsbooks offering no deposit bonuses oversells how talented they are. But if you ask an average American fan, this stands true. It goes without saying that the Americans should be favorites based on theory, therefore it’s no surprise that the bookies have them listed as such strong betting favorites.

For bettors hoping for an upset, Germany appears to be excellent value as such a strong underdog in this game. There probably isn’t as balanced a roster in the 2023 FIBA World Cup as this one. Despite what European basketball enthusiasts may think, the USA is rightfully a -10.5 point favorite in the point spread.

Match analytics

There’s no denying that the USA has the most skilled group of players in this competition. That stands even considering the fact that they didn’t send their top team to the 2023 FIBA World Cup. There are just four teams left, and the USA is there even though we’re not even convinced they have the third-best squad here.

Germany last achieved this result in Indianapolis in 2002. They’ve never made it to the final. They’ve never had a squad this strong, either. It’s this Friday in Pasay if there was ever a moment for that to change.

What’s projected? Inside the paint, Germany will give a hard time to the Americans and raise the tenseness of the match. Consequently, wager on Wallacebet’s points spread (handicap) 2 (Germany) +10.5 with odds of 1.90.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. USA vs. Germany 111:113