Milan vs. Inter Prediction on May 10, 2023

Match info

The semifinal matches of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League will be played this week. After a while, Italian teams reached the very finish of the most elite men’s football competition for clubs and will face each other for a place in the title match. A.C. Milan will host the biggest (city) rival F.C. Internazionale Milan in the first leg of the Top 4 on Wednesday, May 10, at 9:00 PM local time.

Meeting statistics

We all recall the famous 2005 UEFA Champions League “Della Madonnina“ match and the accompanying photograph featuring Materazzi and Rui Costa. Although these two are no longer present, other players will participate in the Milan vs. Inter game. The UCL finals and the opportunity for Milan to compete for its eighth European championship or Inter to win its fourth are on the line, just as they were 18 years ago.

Although Stefano Pioli’s team (an underdog according to online bookies with the best betting bonuses in 2023) hasn’t lost in eight games, it has only managed three victories during that time. Milan are also in a dreadful position in the race for a top-four spot in Serie A because they’ve only won one in their last five games. The UEFA Champions League berth for next year is currently in jeopardy.

Milan’s previous seven games have all ended with under 2.5 goals, largely because Pioli decided to take a conservative approach for the remainder of the season. With the stakes now higher and every game having greater significance, that’s rather normal.

Due to the fact that both Milan and Inter play in the same stadium, neither team has a home-ground advantage in this clash. The number of seats available to the fans of the nominal guests will be limited, but even so, Inter players won’t feel alienated once they step onto the field.

Inter advanced to the Coppa Italia finals and the UEFA Champions League semifinals despite having a subpar season. Even though being criticized during the campaign, Simone Inzaghi was able to silence everyone with his previous triumphs and buy himself more time to firmly establish his place at Meazza. Inter have been winning their previous four games and have been playing with a lot of confidence lately. After Lukaku woke up and upped his performance level, everything became simpler for the other players, who went on to score 13 goals in the four victories.

In recent games, Inzaghi’s team faced difficult opponents at home: Benfica in the UCL quarterfinals, 3-3; Juventus in the Coppa Italia semifinals, 1-0; and most recently, Lazio in Serie A, 3-1 for “Nerazzurri“.

Head-to-head encounters

Inter have won back-to-back matches against Milan, with the “Nerazzurri“ coming out on top 1-0 in a Serie A match in February and 3-0 in the Italian Super Cup a few days after the New Year. Milan outperformed the rival 3-2 in the season’s opening match.

Match analytics

We don’t anticipate many goals because this is only the first “half“ of the game. Given the stakes are so high and it’s Italian derby playing, efficiency is typically low. Therefore, total goals 1-2 are to be anticipated. The odds on such an outcome are good; to be quite honest, we think they’ll be less profitable than they are right now if you choose to bet later on.

Right now, the odds for this outcome are 1.82 on Parobet.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Milan vs. Inter 0:2