Roma vs. Milan Prediction on April 18, 2024

Match info

This Thursday, April 18, at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, the all-Italian duel between AS Roma and AC Milan in the men’s football 2023–24 UEFA Europa League, will come to a close. Kick-off is scheduled for 9 PM local time. Roma have the upper hand going into this second leg of the quarterfinals, having defeated their Serie A opponents 1-0 in their first meeting one week prior.

Meeting statistics

Roma hold an advantage over their Italian rivals Milan in this Europa League quarterfinal matchup because of their crucial 1-0 victory last week on the road. Having won three of their past four games across all competitions, the hosts will be quietly confident about their chances of making it to the top-4 of this UEFA second-tier club competition. Milan, on the other hand, were held to a 3-3 draw away from home at Sassuolo in Serie A over the weekend.

While Milan hope to make it to a European semifinal for the second straight year, Roma are aiming for their second European title in three seasons. But Roma have lost three of their last four home games against Milan, so they’ll need to be cautious.

The current form of Roma

Daniele De Rossi’s team will be full of confidence after their recent triumphs over Sassuolo and Lazio in the Italian top flight, as well as their success against Milan last week in the Europa League, that they can win the rematch leg at Stadio Olimpico, which would advance them to the semifinals.

Roma’s overall record is also encouraging; in the past 17 games across all competitions, they’ve only lost twice, to Inter Milan and Brighton. However, during this time, “The Yellow and Reds“ have also won 12 games, so they have a good chance of winning on Thursday night.

This will mark Roma’s third encounter with Italian opposition at home in a European competition. Fiorentina thrashed them 0-3 in the 2014–15 season, meaning they were defeated by Serie A rivals in their prior international-level meeting.

Given that both Roma and their counterparts have scored goals in six of Roma’s previous 10 home games, the goals market at best mobile bookmakers appears to be attractive as well.

The current form of Milan

The weekend saw Milan play in a high-scoring match in Serie A as Stefano Pioli’s team was held to a 3-3 draw away from home at second-to-last in the standings Sassuolo. This came after Milan’s previous disappointing 0-1 home loss to fellow countrymen Roma in last week’s first-leg tie in this Europa League quarterfinal.

Prior to these two disappointing outcomes, “Rossoneri“ had an outstanding seven-game winning streak across all competitions. This run includes victories both at home and away against Slavia Prague, with the Italian team defeating the Czech side 7-3 overall in the Round of 16. Four of these previous seven successive victories came while on the road, as Milan triumphed against Lazio, Slavia Prague, Verona, and Fiorentina. The goals markets also appear favorable for Milan, as six of their previous 10 games overall have resulted in both teams scoring.

Milan have only lost once in their last six road games against their Italian rivals in European tournaments. It might be important to note, though, that they lost to Inter Milan in the Champions League, which led to their most recent setback in the final four of the previous season.

Since both Milan and their rivals have scored in eight of Milan’s previous 10 away games, it appears that there’ll be more goals in this second-leg UEL match. In fact, this is the most likely outcome.

Head-to-head encounters

Roma have lost three of their last four home games against Milan, so they’ll need to be cautious. After winning 2-1 away from home in the Italian league, Milan maintained their stellar road record against Roma in their previous meeting this season. For the first time since 2014–15, the visitors in the upcoming match will be trying to win two games against Roma away from home in the same season.

Match analytics

Goals in this second leg appear very possible for both Roma and Milan, given that both teams have scored in eight of their previous nine meetings.

Consequently, the “Outcome And Both To Score – Roma And Yes” market at BetSteve is worth taking into consideration, with odds of 5.20.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Roma vs. Milan 2:1