Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid Baloncesto Prediction on April 23, 2025

Match info

Game 1 (Wednesday, April 23, 2025, at 9:30 p.m. local time at the Peace and Friendship Stadium) of a best-of-five series between Olympiacos B.C. and Real Madrid Baloncesto kicks off the 2024–25 Turkish Airlines EuroLeague quarterfinals (Playoffs A) with a bang. The Greek side from Piraeus, which has been dominant all season, will try to defend their home court one more time. The Spaniards want to get past their road-match obstacles. There’s no need to introduce these two titans of European men’s basketball specially.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Olympiacos B.C.

Olympiacos have one of the greatest home records in the league, 13-4. They have to win this first game of the series in order to save the home court advantage. Piraeus’ crowd will be ablaze as always. Olympiacos enter as the favorites by the best basketball gambling sites’ odds, and for good reason, despite a few roster issues.

First, the obvious: Moustapha Fall is doubtful, and Luca Vildoza and Thomas Walkup are out. Both the interior and the perimeter are lacking a great deal of experience and defense. However, this team is still quite strong. With 2023 EuroLeague MVP Sasha Vezenkov, elite shooter and shot creator Evan Fournier, interior finisher and dominant rebounder Nikola Milutinov, explosive deep shooter Tyler Dorsey, and former Real Madrid point guard Nigel Williams-Goss, this team remains deep, versatile, and of the highest caliber overall.

That remains one of Europe’s most comprehensive and deepest rosters. Their perimeter defense suffers without Walkup, sure, but they may make up for it with excellent rebounding, shot-making, and team-switching strategies. Vezenkov has made a perfect comeback to “Erythrolefki” (The Red-Whites), and the Piraeus side has perhaps the strongest frontcourt combination in the playoffs thanks to his synergy with Milutinov.

The current form of the Real Madrid Baloncesto

Real Madrid have a healthy squad going into this match and no serious injuries. Its greatest threats are twin towers inside Walter Tavares and Vincent Poirier, one of the best forwards in the EuroLeague Džanan Musa, a tough, explosive, and self-assured shooting guard Mario Hezonja, and, of course, an elite point guard and the offensive engine Facundo Campazzo.

Despite their size, depth, and experience, “Los Blancos” (The Whites) boast a 7-10 road record. They have so far had trouble in high-pressure away games this season, particularly in Istanbul and Belgrade. The hall of Piraeus isn’t any easier.

Head-to-head

These two have faced one another on numerous occasions. Real Madrid have only a slightly better record head-to-head: 19-17.

Match analytics

We emphasize once more: Olympiacos are 13-4 at home and have a strong playoff record at Peace and Friendship Stadium, supported by one of Europe’s loudest and most fervent supporters. Even without Vildoza and Walkup, they have a ton of skill. Olympiacos will physically exhaust Madrid and pull away late if they maintain control of the tempo, something they typically do at home. The best value and our primary Olympiacos vs. Real Madrid prediction is to take the five-point spread on the home team.

Tip: Handicap: Handicap 1 (-5), with odds of 1.81 on LEX.