Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction on January 24, 2026

Match info

This mixed martial art (MMA) matchup headlines UFC 324, a numbered event for the Ultimate Fighting Championship and a major moment in early 2026. In addition to its sporting value, the event also marks the UFC’s first big card streamed under a new broadcast partnership, making it notable for accessibility and global viewership. The main event — an interim lightweight title fight — holds serious status: with current undisputed lightweight champion Ilia Topuria inactive for personal reasons, the winner of Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 18:00 PST /Pacific Standard Time, local time/ at T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, USA — main events typically begin two and a half to three hours after the main card starts) will claim the interim 155-pound championship and position himself for a future undisputed title shot.

Fans and bettors often consult a UFC betting site for updated odds and markets on this type of high-stakes matchup.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje is one of the most recognizable names in MMA, known for relentless pressure and explosive striking. The American veteran — previously interim lightweight champion and former BMF titleholder — brings a career built on high-intensity exchanges and fan-friendly fights. His style is rooted in forward movement, heavy leg kicks, and constant volume; opponents rarely get a break as he pushes pace, absorbs punishment, and returns fire with powerful combinations.

Gaethje has a long professional record and enters UFC 324 with decades of top-level experience. Though “The Highlight” is nearing the twilight of his career at 37, he remains dangerous with sharp striking and veteran ring IQ.

Current form & playstyle: Paddy Pimblett  

Paddy Pimblett, on the other hand, represents a rising force with a slightly different approach. The Englishman combines dynamic grappling with striking that can surprise even seasoned foes. Pimblett’s path to the top has been marked by impressive finishes, including submissions, and a willingness to mix it up on the feet. His aggressive, opportunistic style keeps opponents guessing, with rapid pace changes and creative scrambles once the fight hits the mat.

Pimblett’s momentum and confidence have grown over recent years, and he now arrives in Las Vegas as a serious contender — one who can threaten with both ground and stand-up offense.

Head-to-head

As of this fight, Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett have never fought before. This will be their first professional matchup, making all projections and strategies hypothetical rather than based on direct past meetings. Their differing skillsets — Gaethje’s striking intensity and Pimblett’s grappling diversity — add intrigue to a fresh rivalry.

Match analytics

We think that Justin Gaethje will win by late finish — Gaethje’s pressure and high-significant strike output make him a tough puzzle for Pimblett. While Pimblett has submission threats, Gaethje’s takedown defense and durability could keep him standing long enough for his power to tell. A fight going the distance can be appealing if you expect Pimblett to weather early pressure.

Tip: Will the fight go the distance: yes at 3.10 odds on Riobet.