Switzerland vs. Italy Prediction on June 29, 2024

Match info

The men’s 2024 UEFA European Football Championship knockout stages get underway on Saturday, June 29, at 6 p.m. local time at the Olympiastadion in Berlin, Germany, with a matchup between Switzerland (A2) and Italy (B2).

Meeting statistics

The current form of Switzerland

Switzerland has a very good result of five Group A points going into the Euro 2024 knockout stages. The “A-Team” was only a few seconds away from defeating the host Germany and settling at the top of the group, but ultimately it had to settle for second place. After all, with just one loss in their previous 17 games spanning an 18-month period, this Swiss team is tough to beat. However, they’ve struggled to carve out victories; nine of their last 14 games, including their two games at Euro 2024, have ended in draws.

Switzerland pulled off a historic last-16 comeback against France, the overwhelming favorite, three years ago at Euro, through a penalty shootout, and there’s a good chance it can force Italy to that distance here as well. After scoring the first goal against Germany, Dan Ndoye had another goal disallowed. European sportsbooks are giving him odds of 33/5 on average to score again on Saturday, while Xherdan Shaqiri is backed at 7/1 or so to score for the second time in this competition.

The current form of Italy

Italy didn’t perform well in the group rounds. The “Azzurri” barely defeated Albania, were surpassed by Spain, and needed an equalizer against Croatia in the 98th minute to take second place in Group B. Gianluigi Donnarumma, the goalkeeper for Italy, made several excellent saves against Luka Modrić and company. He’ll probably be used again in Berlin, although Mattia Zaccagni, the hero on the substitution bench, might now get the start.

At Euro 2020, three of Italy’s four knockout round matches lasted longer than the regular 90 minutes. The “Azzurri” defeated Austria in extra time and then prevailed over both Spain and England on penalties. If something similar occurs on Saturday against a formidable Swiss team that enjoys drawing, we wouldn’t be stunned. At 21/10, a draw after 90 minutes is definitely appealing, and a 1-1 scoreline is valued at 5/1.

Italy defeated Switzerland in the Euro 2020 group stages and had only dropped a single game against them in their previous 11 meetings. Italy has a remarkable ability to produce results in important competitions, having advanced to the quarterfinals in the previous four European championships. However, Switzerland appears to be far stronger than Italy, which has regressed since winning the title three years ago.

Head-to-head

On Saturday, Switzerland and Italy will face off for the 61st time. The latter has a considerably better head-to-head record than Switzerland, having won 29 games to the Swiss team’s seven wins. Twenty-four matches saw a tie.

Switzerland hasn’t beaten Italy since 1993, which was its first win against the “Azzurri” since 1982, with Italy having avoided a defeat in 11 matches dating back to 1993. But five of the previous six matches—including both 2022 World Cup qualifiers—have ended in draws. After losing in the play-offs, Italy famously missed out on qualifying for Qatar, but the Swiss team went on to win the group. On the other hand, Italy won the trophy in Euro 2020, convincingly defeating Switzerland 3-0 en route.

Match analytics

Italy’s offensive deficiencies could be exposed by a well-trained Switzerland team, which should be confident going into the big game after its victory against Germany. Still, this knockout clash could resemble a game of chess. That’s why we predict 1st half/full-time X/Switzerland with odds of 6.90 on BETFAN.