Spain vs. France Prediction on June 5, 2025

Match info

The second semi-final of the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final, the final competition of the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League (the fourth season of the international football competition involving the men’s national teams of the 55 member associations of UEFA, the European governing body for the sport) for Nations League A, will pit Spain, the current UEFA Nations League and European champion, against France, the two-time FIFA World Cup winner. The game is set to take place at the MHPArena in Stuttgart, Germany, a day after the host’s semi-final match against Portugal in Munich. Spain vs. France, in which the former is the slight favorite based on football online betting sites’ odds, begins at 9 p.m. local time on Thursday, June 5, 2025.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Spain

Spain’s recent success under head coach Luis de la Fuente has solidified its standing as one of Europe’s best teams. Even though his wards lost to Scotland 0-2 in Glasgow to start his term, his team soon bounced back and won the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League. With a string of dominant performances, “La Roja” (The Red One) won the championship at UEFA Euro 2024, continuing its upward trajectory.

After a fiercely contested two-leg quarter-final matchup with the Netherlands, Spain moved to the semi-finals. The first game in Amsterdam finished in a 2-2 draw, while the second leg in Valencia ended in a 3-3 draw as well. After defeating the Dutch 5-4 in a penalty shootout, Spain advanced.

Rodri, who has returned to action for Manchester City but is still healing from a recent injury, won’t play for Spain. Additionally, absent from the Spanish team are Ferran Torres, Marc Casadó, and Dani Carvajal. Nonetheless, Spain’s offensive is still strengthened by the rise of young players like Nico Williams, Pedri, and Lamine Yamal.

The current form of France

Didier Deschamps’ France campaign is still going strong, despite mounting criticism of the team’s consistency and style of play. Despite his stated plan to withdraw from the role following the 2026 FIFA World Cup, there’s growing pressure to make a change sooner because of the team’s alleged performance stagnation.

“Les Bleus” (The Blues) lost 0-2 in Zagreb, struggling at first against Croatia in the quarter-finals. They eventually secured their spot in the semi-finals with a 5-4 penalty shootout triumph after reversing the deficit with a 2-0 victory in the return leg at Stade de France. The outcome demonstrated the world champion’s tenacity as well as any remaining weaknesses.

France will be without their rested defenders Jules Koundé, William Saliba, and Dayot Upamecano. In addition, a number of players—including Warren Zaïre-Emery, Lucas Hernandez, and Ousmane Dembélé—are arriving late since they were competing in the UEFA Champions League final. Due to an injury, Youssouf Fofana isn’t playing either.

Head-to-head

The teams have faced one another 37 times in total. Spain prevailed more times—17. France won 13 times, while seven matches ended in a draw.

Match analytics

In order to get past France’s defense, Spain is anticipated to dominate midfield exchanges and control possession. The Spanish offense could take advantage of France’s left flank weaknesses with Lamine Yamal in fine form, especially if fullback Théo Hernandez gets forward frequently. On the counterattack, though, France is a real threat since Kylian Mbappé and Dembélé will probably go after Spain’s vulnerable right defense. The French front line could be able to break Spain’s rhythm if it can take advantage of these opportunities.

The drama of their UEFA Euro 2024 clash is mirrored in this semi-final matchup, and both teams are predicted to score in a hotly contested contest. As previously stated, Spain is the small favorite to make it to the final once more, given their current form and midfield strength.

Tip: Result and Both Teams to Score: Win1 and Both Teams to Score, with odds of 3.65 on Jet Casino.