Spain vs. England Prediction on July 14, 2024

Match info

It’s almost time for the men’s 2024 UEFA European Football Championship final. With Spain and England squaring up their spots for the continental trophy, there has been no shortage of fun in Germany thus far.

Our in-depth analysis for this Sunday’s (July 14) title match at the Olympiastadion in Berlin revolves around our prediction of which team will place first on the podium. In order to select a few betting picks for the UEFA Euro 2024 championship match, which gets underway at 9 p.m. local time, we’ve also examined the Maestro betting sites’ odds.

Now, without further ado, let’s make our final-event predictions!

Meeting statistics

Spain is favored going into its matchup with England on Sunday in the Euro 2024 final. Following their quarterfinal victory over Germany, the Spaniards went on to win the tournament and are still the outright favorites after defeating France in the semifinal.

As soon as the knockout stage began, England was an overwhelming outright favorite. Although their route to the championship wasn't as tough, the “Three Lions” managed to overcome the Netherlands in the semifinal on Wednesday.

Spain would become the country with the most European titles if it prevailed in Berlin. Germany and Spain have each won the continental championship three times. Spain was previously crowned at home in 1964, then in 2008 and 2012.

Despite its lack of success at the Euros, England is making its second consecutive final appearance. Three years ago, England lost to Italy on penalties at its iconic Wembley Stadium in London.

The current form of Spain

At this European Championship, Spain has proven to be the strongest squad. It was the only team to win all three of its group matches, and in order to go to the final, they were (and succeeded in doing so) to defeat the tournament host Germany and France; the latter had been the most successful national team in Europe for the previous 10 or so years. Luis de la Fuente’s wards are strong contenders to take it all this summer, and we think they can triumph this weekend.

In the first semifinal of the competition, Spain trailed by one against France, but it battled back through goals from 16-year-old wonder Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo to take a 2-1 lead into halftime. In the second half, France tried hard to pull even but was unable to do so as Spain held firm without any trouble. “La Roja” did a good job in controlling the encounter and earned their victory, which advanced them to their first final since the 2012 European Championship.

The current form of England

England hasn't performed as well as Spain. They finished first in their group, ahead of Denmark, Slovenia, and Serbia, but they didn’t light up the group, and they narrowly defeated Slovakia in the round of 16. They advanced to the semifinals after defeating Switzerland in a penalty shootout. England is the underdog on Sunday, even though it did show significant improvement against the Netherlands last time around. Gareth Southgate’s team likely possesses more match-winners than Spain, but somehow, it’s largely less cohesive.

In its semis matchup, England gave up the first goal just like Spain versus France, with Xavi Simons giving the Netherlands the lead in Dortmund. But not long after, the “Three Lions” equalized when Harry Kane scored from the spot following a contentious penalty call for England. Ollie Watkins scored a thrilling goal for England in the first minute of second-half stoppage time, sending his national team to its second straight Euro final, even though it appeared like the game might go into extra time.

Key stats

In each of the last three matches involving Spain, a “Both teams to score” market came in.
In four of England’s previous five games, “both teams to score” has occurred.
In four of Spain’s previous six matches, there was “over 2.5 goals” overall.
In the last three meetings between Spain and England, there have been “over 2.5 goals” overall.

Head-to-head

Spain and England faced off 27 times throughout history. The latter is more successful with 14 wins, while Spain prevailed in 10 matches. Three encounters ended in a draw.

Looking at the past 20 years, Spain and England have played eight games against each other. Spain won five of them (12 total goals scored, GPG of 1.5), England won two (seven total goals scored, GPG of 0.9), and one was drawn. Spain and England have resulted in their previous five meetings with two victories and losses apiece, while one match was a tie.

Match analytics

England and France, Spain’s opponents in the final and semifinal, are comparable in certain aspects. France is a very skilled team that has performed admirably recently, but despite its talent, it struggled to score goals and, to be honest, was boring to watch. Although on paper England has a strong team and has advanced to the semifinals in three of the last four major events, but for the most part of this tournament, it has been utterly boring to watch. Against the Dutch side, England perhaps played its greatest game of the tournament, but Spain is a higher-caliber opponent.

Although Spain isn’t a huge favorite—this is a one-match final between two of the sport’s titans—the odds are definitely in its favor. It’s not thought to be a tie. Compared to its match versus France, Spain is a stronger favorite versus England; furthermore, Spain is a stronger favorite in the final than England was against the Netherlands. Actually, for the first time in Euro 2024, England isn’t the favorite in its match.

We believe in Spain’s triumph in a game where both sides will definitely score at least one, so Both Teams To Score and Result – Yes & Spain, with odds of 6.24 at Thunderpick, is our final verdict.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Spain vs. England 2:!