SpaceShoobs! vs. Aelix Prediction on November 21, 2025

Match info

The sixth edition of ELEMENT (officially, ELEMENT SIX – Winter 2025) is North America’s flagship Tier-2 Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six Siege X event, being part of the official NA T2 circuit. It’s essentially the proving ground for teams trying to break into or return to the North America League (NAL). Two US organizations, SpaceShoobs! and Aelix, successfully went through the 16-team Swiss stage line-up to reach the playoffs and a chance of getting a cut of the prize money (only teams that make it out of the Swiss will earn cash).

For SpaceShoobs!, a community-favourite NA stack with steady T2 results (NAL Challenger top-6, LAN top-8s), this is a chance to prove it was more than a “vibes” team and can consistently beat former champions. For Aelix, the stakes are even more narrative-heavy: the core is basically the former Qor Gaming roster that won ELEMENT FIVE, now rebranded under a new org. They come into SIX as the defending champions in spirit, trying to show that the tag change hasn’t dimmed their pedigree.

An online bo3 upper-bracket quarterfinal between SHOOB and ALX (Friday, November 21, at 16:30 Pacific Standard Time – PST, local time at a physical venue, Localhost Philadelphia in the United States, but with this upper-bracket quarterfinal being played online on North American server), means the winner moves closer to the title with a safety net; the loser drops to the lower bracket and loses their margin for error. In Tier-2, where visibility and offers ride on deep runs, this match is a big deal for both rosters.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: SpaceShoobs!

SpaceShoobs! come into the playoffs with real momentum from the Swiss stage. They went 3–1, taking a clean Bo1 win over Aelix (7–4) on Day 2, outlasting Team KIRI NA 2–1 in a Bo3, and also logging wins over Qor Gaming, with the only real blemish being a 0–2 loss to Freaky Frogs, one of the hottest teams in the tournament.

Structurally, SHOOB looks like a classic NA T2 team that leans into confident, proactive defence and map-control heavy attacks. With an in-game leader like Jake “Exige” Allen and a lineup featuring players such as “Exer,” “Toaster,” “Shmink,” “Teddy” and “Vulspur,” they’re comfortable playing a team-oriented style built around information and timing, rather than pure hero plays every round.

On defense, they’re not afraid to send roamers deep and force attackers into awkward late-round executes. Their earlier win over Aelix highlighted exactly that: heavy roam pressure, well-timed swings, and solid crossfires, with “Exer” in particular drawing praise from community threads for clutch impact in key rounds. On attack, they look most comfortable on structured defaults – clearing common power positions with utility, using drones and info to isolate fights, then collapsing onto the site with decent trading. They’re not spotless – that loss to Freaky Frogs exposed some struggles against very high-tempo aggression – but overall they arrive at the playoffs looking stable and confident.

Current form & playstyle: Aelix

Aelix’s path through the Swiss was rockier but still effective. They opened with a tight 8–6 Bo1 win over Yurrrrrrr, then stumbled against SpaceShoobs!, Moneyball, and Akron before stabilising with a clean 2–0 over KIRI to lock their playoff spot. That leaves them at 2–3 from the Swiss and seeded lower than SpaceShoobs!, but still very much alive. Playstyle-wise, Aelix feels like a team in transition between a structured championship pedigree and current-form inconsistency. The core comes from the Qor Gaming lineup that won ELEMENT FIVE, and you can still see that experience in how they approach mid-rounds: they’re comfortable going deep into the clock, reshaping attacks, and playing for information advantage. Their roster – with players like “Spiff,” “Inryo,” “Focal,” “Franklin”, and “Rival” – has plenty of mechanical firepower. “Focal”, in particular, has been highlighted for flashy clutches, including recent clips on Rainbow6Bravo, which mirrors how Aelix can lean on individual brilliance to bail them out of messy rounds.

Defensively, Aelix sometimes look a bit looser than their past reputation suggests, occasionally giving up space or getting caught by aggressive entries. When they’re on, their coordinated retakes and crossfires look polished; when they’re off, rounds can devolve into scrappy duels. On attack, they are willing to play slower, methodical Siege, but have shown susceptibility to proactive defensive setups like those SpaceShoobs! used against them in the Swiss. Overall, they come into this match as a dangerous but slightly volatile contender trying to recapture their peak form.

Head-to-head

There’s one recent official head-to-head on record in the ELEMENT series: 17 October 2025 – ELEMENT SIX Swiss Stage (bo1):
SpaceShoobs! vs Aelix 7–4.

Match analytics

Given what we know, over a bo3 in an upper-bracket opener, we slightly favour the team with the cleaner Swiss campaign and the direct H2H win. Our call: SpaceShoobs! to win 2–1 in maps.
Expect at least one close map and a real chance of overtime somewhere in the series. Most esport bookmakers are likely to treat this as a near coin-flip bo3 – preview pages show it being marketed as a very even matchup rather than a heavy favourite vs underdog.