Sofia Goggia vs. Alice Robinson Prediction on February 12, 2026

Match info

The women’s super-G is one of alpine skiing’s most prestigious speed events at the Olympics: a single high-speed run where athletes must balance aggressive downhill lines with technical precision through widely spaced gates. Unlike the downhill (which focuses purely on speed) or giant slalom (which focuses more on technical turns), super-G rewards both daring and finesse, making it unpredictable and exciting.

The final of the discipline is on Thursday, February 12, 2026, at 11:30 Central European Time (CET, local time) on the Olimpia delle Tofane course (Tofane Alpine Skiing Centre) in Cortina d’Ampezzo, Italy.

This classic Olympic and World Cup venue challenges Super-G racers with dynamic terrain changes, rhythm sections, and steep pitches that require both commitment and precision. Many enthusiasts and analysts who follow Olympic previews and platform comparisons consult informational resources like Bookmaker Expert’s Winter Olympics guides for context on coverage and event formats, and the best Milano Cortina 2026 bookies before major competitions.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: Sofia Goggia

The Italian skier enters the Olympics as arguably the top favorite in women’s super-G based on the early-season World Cup standings and recent results. She has been leading the discipline, including a World Cup win in Val d’Isère and strong placings that demonstrate both speed and tactical mastery.

Goggia’s racing style blends bold line choice with powerful edge control — she isn’t afraid to sit deep in the tuck and carry speed through transitional slopes, and her aggression often pays dividends on courses that reward forward commitment over caution.

Current form & playstyle: Alice Robinson

Alice Robinson has also emerged as a major contender this season, notably becoming the first New Zealand skier to win a World Cup super-G in St. Moritz. Her performance there showcased her ability to combine big-mountain speed with technical agility — launching smoothly off challenging jumps and maintaining flow through variable terrain.

Robinson’s super-G results this season, including podium finishes and close battles with the very top names, underline her status as a medal threat in Cortina.

Note

A compelling dark horse to watch is Malorie Blanc, the young Swiss skier who claimed her first World Cup super-G victory in Crans-Montana just before the Olympics. Her win, coming against established racers and under emotional circumstances, has boosted her confidence. Blanc tends to ski with a balanced style — combining steady speed with fewer mid-turn corrections — and on a day when conditions favor clean execution over fearless aggression, she could surprise and crack the top ranks.

Head-to-head

Across the partial World Cup super-G season this year, Goggia has held the edge in standings and consistent top placements, indicating she’s the steadiest performer when it comes to combining speed and line efficiency. Robinson, while slightly behind in points, has shown the ability to challenge the very best when her run flow is crisp and her edge transitions are smooth. Blanc, although less experienced overall, has shown she can beat them on the right day, especially if she carries momentum from a recent victory and conditions keep the course straightforward rather than chaotic.

Match analytics

Prediction and betting outlook

Sofia Goggia’s early super-G season lead and bold, high-speed skiing give her the strongest shot at Olympic gold.

Super-G is sensitive to conditions such as visibility and snow firmness, so monitoring the official training runs and weather forecast leading up to Feb 12 can further refine expectations.

Tip: Winner: Sofia Goggia (look at LEX for odds).

Note: Day by day, online sportsbooks are gradually filling up alpine skiing markets, but for now, in most cases, only odds for women’s super-G at Milano Cortina 2026 aren’t live yet.