Slovenia vs. Austria Prediction on February 16, 2026

Match info

The men’s super team is making its Olympic debut at Milano-Cortina 2026, and it’s designed to feel like pure, high-stakes sprint drama: only two jumpers per nation instead of four, with momentum swings every few minutes. The format is built for pressure — one slightly off jump doesn’t just hurt an athlete, it immediately hurts the pair. Olympics.com describes this new event as a two-athlete team competition and positions it as a major addition to the ski jumping program.

For readers following medal contenders and markets, Olympic betting odds already reflect how volatile this new event can be compared to traditional team competitions.

When:

The men’s super team – final round is scheduled for Monday, February 16, 2026, 20:20 local time (Central European Time — CET).

Where:

It’s held at the Predazzo Ski Jumping Stadium / Stadio del salto “Giuseppe Dal Ben” in Predazzo, Italy.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: Slovenia

Slovenia, led by Domen Prevc, profiles like the “ceiling” favorite because Prevc has been stacking elite results and, crucially for the super team, tends to deliver high-scoring jumps even when conditions shift. His style is built on explosive takeoff timing and a calm, efficient flight position — the kind of jump that holds up when the wind turns a round into chaos.

The media have repeatedly framed Prevc as a top Slovenian medal hope as the Games action ramps up, even noting moments when he chose to rest strategically rather than force unnecessary jumps.

Current form & playstyle: Austria  

Austria is the clearest “structure + depth” challenger. Their advantage in this format is that Austria can field pairs that appear built for repeatability—strong technique, predictable landings, and fewer throwaway attempts.

They’ve already shown super team-specific firepower this season: Austria won the first men’s super team World Cup event of 2025–26 in Zakopane, with Jan Hörl and Stephan Embacher delivering a dominant performance. That matters because a super team isn’t just “best individual,” it’s “best two jumps, again and again.”

Note: With Ryōyū Kobayashi as the swing factor, Japan emerges as a dark horse. The Asian team can absolutely steal this if the pairing nails timing and manages the in-run/air decisions under pressure. Kobayashi’s top-end is still frightening when he’s locked in — and when super team heats up, having someone who can drop a “statement jump” at exactly the right moment is how underdogs flip a podium. Recent season coverage and standings content for the 2025–26 cycle continue to position Kobayashi among the highest-impact names in the sport.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head story is Slovenia vs. Austria: “peak scoring” vs. “repeatability.” Slovenia can win by simply being the best on the day — especially if Prevc is the best jumper in the stadium. Austria can win by being the team that doesn’t blink across rounds, which is exactly how they took the season’s first super team victory. 
And the format amplifies that contrast: it runs across three rounds, cutting to 12 teams after round one and eight after round two, so a single shaky jump can dump a contender into the danger zone early.

Match analytics

Prevc-led Slovenia has the highest gold potential, Austria is the safest medal profile, and Japan is the most realistic spoiler if the competition gets windy or jump-to-jump inconsistent.

Tip: Winner: Slovenia (check out Monro for odds).

Note: The Milano Cortina 2026 men’s super team event hasn’t yet been covered by online bookmakers.