Potter vs. Beaugrand: Prediction on July 31, 2024

Match info

The top 110 triathletes in the world will compete in the Paris Olympics 2024. One of three triathlon competitions held in the French capital, the women’s individual race, consists of a 1500-meter swim, a 40-kilometer cycle, and a 10-kilometer run. The swim leg of the event will start on Wednesday, July 31, at 8 a.m. on a floating pontoon close to the Pont Alexandre III bridge and will be partly held in the Seine River. A path through the heart of Paris will be cycled by the competitors, and the race will end with a run that circles back around the city to the finish line on the Pont Alexandre III bridge.

With a time of 01:55.36, Bermuda’s Flora Duffy won gold in the women’s individual competition at Tokyo 2020. She is, however, only the third favorite in Paris for the gold, according to the odds of the top 10 bookmakers online. This is our form guide for the main competitors in what looks to be a race to remember for Olympic glory.

Meeting statistics

Flora Duffy, the pre-race favorite in the women’s competition in Tokyo 2020, went on to win the gold medal. Even if there are several exceptional cyclists competing in Paris, the race generally seems more open than in previous years, which could make for an exciting competition on July 31.

The 2023 world champion, Great Britain’s Beth Potter, a former distance runner who now competes in triathlon, is the favorite No. 1 for gold before Duffy. Potter ran for GB in the 10K at the 2016 Rio Olympic Games, giving her the most elegant running pedigree of any woman in the competition. Potter switched to triathlon in 2017, and since then, she has improved her swimming and biking to participate in the elite women’s competition. Her four wins last season, including a 2023 World Triathlon Championship title, were the result of her hard work. She’s well-positioned to win the run thanks to her steady performance in the swim and cycle. Her victory at the Paris Test Event the previous year further demonstrates her track record of success on the Paris course. Beth is among the competition’s quickest runners, but this season, she has lost to racers who outran her twice.

Favorite from the host country and overall favorite No. 2, Cassandre Beaugrand, will compete in her third Olympics. She won two World Triathlon Championship Series (WTCS) races in 2023 and two WTCSs this year, in Cagliari and Hamburg, putting her at the top of the World Triathlon rankings as of right now. Beaugrand is among the competition’s best runners and has a front-pack swim. It will be difficult to remove her from any bike pack on the large, comparatively non-technical Paris track. Being the star of the French women’s team, Beaugrand will have a lot of pressure to perform well in front of the country’s eyes going into the event. Due to her history of being dropped from lead packs in races, particularly in wet weather, she can be susceptible when riding a bike. If at all feasible, her rivals will want to get as far away from Beaugrand as they can on the bike.

Match analytics

Duffy, the gold medalist from Tokyo, is still a name to be aware of. However, because she struggled with injuries throughout 2023, it gives newcomers like Potter—whose win at Rivalry is valued at 2.62—a chance to win the race; therefore, we advise seizing it.