Peñarol vs. Botafogo Prediction on October 30, 2024

Match info

In the rematch in Montevideo, the capital of Uruguay, Brazil’s Botafogo, who have never won the South American men’s football Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores, will try to confirm their great form by converting a sizable semifinal first-leg advantage over Peñarol that they acquired in front of their own supporters. At 9:30 p.m. local time on Wednesday, October 30, the game will begin at the Campeón del Siglo stadium.

If a miracle doesn’t occur, South American club football will again have a Brazilian final, in which the continental powerhouse resumes creating notable differences from the rest of South America. It will be the fourth final involving Brazilian teams since 2020, except for the most recent one, if Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro advance to the title match scheduled for November 30 in Buenos Aires. And there are no reasons this won’t happen given that both sides made huge margins compared to their rivals, Peñarol and River Plate, respectively, in the first legs of the semis.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Peñarol

Unlike Botafogo, the “Carboneros” (the Charcoal Miners), who believed they had a chance to win a sixth Libertadores title, will have a very difficult day ahead of them. Their supporters filled most of the 40,000 seats at the Campeón del Siglo stadium even before the semifinals, but now they’ll watch a match with slim odds of victory for their beloved team. However, they are favorites (2.52 on Bethard; Botafogo are 2.78) in the rematch according to bookmakers, most likely because Botofogo will go out on the pitch with a combined line-up given they sealed the progression to the final in the first match at home, so many of the starters will be rested for what’s coming in the Brazilian Championship, where they vie for the title too.

Given that the Peñarol are among the famous names of the Libertadores, tradition supports them. They’ve won five titles since becoming the first winners in 1960. The most recent, however, was in 1987, when Diego Aguirre, a rookie attacker, netted in the closing minute of the final. He’s currently the Montevideo team’s coach. Uruguayan clubs found it extremely difficult to compete once the global football market opened up. Peñarol have advanced far in the competition for the first time in decades following their defeat in the 2011 final against Santos, who was spurred by Neymar.

The current form of Botafogo

In the first leg of the semifinals in Rio de Janeiro, Botafogo crushed a hopeful Peñarol 5-0, reaffirming Brazilian dominance in the Copa Libertadores and confirming that they weren’t given the role of the biggest favorites to lift the trophy out of the four semifinalists by sites for the best mobile betting. They travel to Montevideo on Wednesday in order to secure their spot in the title match of the club event on the continent.

Rio-side has a strong chance to win their first premiere South American club championship after an exciting second half of the first match against Uruguayans that saw five goals in less than 30 minutes.

The level of “Fogão” (the Fire) is so high that they are currently on top of the competitive Brasileirão, where they have justifiable aspirations to win the title. The current leaders of the Brazilian top flight have a sad recent history mixed with a great tradition. Before the US billionaire John Textor, whose Eagle Holdings also owns Lyon and has a stake in Crystal Palace, invested, the debt-ridden Botafogo were growing all too accustomed to the second level.

But money isn’t the only factor in Botafogo’s ascent. It’s also a story of excellent scouting and skillful coaching by Artur Jorge, a Portuguese expert, who has introduced the young and relatively unknown players with ease—Igor Jesus, Luis Henrique, etc.—who are now key players of the team.

Head-to-head

The first leg of this season’s Copa Libertadores was the first-ever encounter between these two sides.

Match analytics

Both sides will play unchained: Peñarol have nothing to lose but pride and will focus on the attack to redeem for a poor display in the first leg, while players that usually sit on the bench of Botafogo and will get a chance to play now will do their best to show themselves in a good manner. Hence, goals won’t be lacking in the rematch.

Tip: Total and both teams to score – Yes and Over 2.50, with odds of 2.55 on TOPsport.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Peñarol vs. Botafogo 3:1