Oscar Piastri vs. Lando Norris Prediction on May 4, 2025

Match info

This weekend, from Friday, May 2, 2025, to Sunday, May 4, 2025, the Miami Grand Prix will return as a bitter intra-team rivalry is developing at the top of the 2025 FIA Formula One World Championship. Oscar Piastri, who has just won two straight races, is currently 10 points ahead of his McLaren teammate Lando Norris. According to sportsbooks offering USD to bet, the two men are both considered joint favorites to win the main race, which is scheduled to start on Sunday at 4 p.m. local time.

So, Piastri aims to win his third consecutive race in the season’s opening event held in the United States, while Norris seeks to win for the second time this year. Max Verstappen, the four-time defending champion, is currently trading in third place at bookies behind his McLaren rivals.

Meeting statistics

Piastri has established himself as the early surprise of the championship after an exciting start to the 2025 campaign, but Norris’ speed and tenacity in qualifying mean that this fight could go any way in the Florida sunshine. We’re switching to Norris after supporting Piastri for his consecutive victories in the Middle East.

Despite not being as fast as the Jeddah Corniche Circuit, the Miami International Autodrome is nonetheless incredibly fast. With top speeds of 198 mph (320 km/h) and average speeds of 138 mph (223 km/h), the Miami Grand Prix is another street race, similar to the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix. It’s approximately 17 mph slower than the Jeddah Corniche Circuit. McLaren is favored by speed, and this will continue until the other vehicles close the performance gap. Since the pole-sitter hasn’t won any of the previous three races, it’s also favorable for overtaking. If McLaren wins qualifying, however, this might be the first.

Verstappen, who has won two of the three Miami Grand Prix events held there, is a little out of the running this year. When track temperatures and strategy are taken into consideration, the Red Bull driver is unbeatable.

Mercedes and Ferrari have both had difficulty keeping up with McLaren’s performance on city circuits this season, although George Russell and Charles Leclerc are still outside the running.

Match analytics

The fact that Piastri and Norris are both favorites with equal odds demonstrates how evenly distributed McLaren’s current season is. After finishing fourth in the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix last time out, the latter has to perform well on Sunday. Regardless, we’re going with the current Miami track champion, whose first Formula One triumph came in Miami last year, even if Piastri is another good pick. After finishing a dismal 10th in qualifying, Norris made up ground to finish fourth in Saudi Arabia, where he was exceptional at this track in 2024. We believe this is the weekend the Brit returns to his best form, and that race could help him rebuild some lost confidence.

Tip: Fastest Lap and Win the Race: Lando Norris, with odds of 4.2 on DRIP Casino.