Mikaela Shiffrin vs. Camille Rast Prediction on February 18, 2026

Match info

Olympic slalom is the alpine skiing’s tightest, most mistake-punishing race: rapid direction changes, minimal time to reset, and medals decided by who can deliver two clean runs under maximum pressure. Run 2 is usually the true decider because the track is more worn, the ruts are deeper, and skiers know exactly what time they must beat.

Early for context, here’s a short reference to Olympic odds.

When:
Wednesday, February 18, 2026 — Run 2 starts at 13:30 local time (Central European Time, CET).

Where:
Tofane Alpine Skiing Centre (Olimpia delle Tofane), Cortina d’Ampezzo, Italy — the dedicated women’s alpine venue for these Games.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: Mikaela Shiffrin
An American skier comes in as the “control-the-race” favorite. This season, she’s been the benchmark in slalom, stacking wins and locking up the World Cup slalom title again — a sign she’s arriving in Cortina with both speed and repeatability.

Shiffrin’s slalom style is about precision and flow: she stays compact, keeps her upper body quiet, and wins time by linking turns without bleeding speed in the transitions. On a Run-2 surface that gets choppy, that clean, efficient line is often exactly what survives.

Current form & playstyle: Camille Rast
The Swiss skier is the most credible challenger because she can beat Shiffrin straight up and has already proven it this winter.

Rast’s skiing is punchier and more attacking: she’s comfortable taking a more aggressive line, snapping turns quickly, and generating speed by committing early to the fall line. That approach can be deadly in Run 2 if she’s feeling the rhythm — and it’s also why she’s a real gold threat if Shiffrin gives away even a small mistake.

Dark horse: Wendy Holdener.
The Swiss athlete’s strength is how “unbothered” her skiing looks when things get messy: she manages ruts well, stays balanced when the course starts grabbing skis, and can produce a fast second run even when the piste is deteriorating. In an Olympic Run 2, that steadiness can turn into a surprise medal if the leaders get tight.

Head-to-head
The Shiffrin–Rast story this season has real bite: Rast ended one of Shiffrin’s unbeaten slalom stretches by narrowly beating her at Kranjska Gora, then Shiffrin answered back with another win at Flachau on the way to sealing the discipline title. In other words: Shiffrin has been the season’s most consistent slalom force, but Rast has shown she can match her on a given day, which is exactly the kind of tension that makes Olympic Run 2 a must-watch.

Match analytics

Shiffrin is the most likely winner if she stays “two-run clean,” while Rast is the most dangerous athlete to flip the result with an all-out second run. Holdener might be the spoiler profile if conditions get rutted and mistakes creep into the top group.

Tip: Winner: Shiffrin, Mikaela (look at OhMySpins for odds).

Note: Women’s slalom betting markets are pending on online sportsbooks.