Mexico vs. Ecuador Prediction on June 30, 2024

Match info

Mexico takes on Ecuador in the Sunday (June 29 at 5 p.m. local time) men’s football 2024 Copa América action. Scroll down to view our prediction and the statistics for the last-round match of Group B at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, USA, which is do-or-die for both sides, along with the best match odds.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Mexico

After losing to Venezuela 0-1 in its previous match, Mexico won’t want to repeat this performance here at the last 2024 Copa América group stage match since it would spell the end of the competition for them. “El Tri” enjoyed 61% of the possession in that game, and five of their 18 shots on goal were on target. Conversely, Venezuela managed to get two of their 10 shots on goal on target. Salomón Rondón (57’) gave Venezuela a goal.

Lately, matches involving Mexico have typically been exciting affairs with high-scoring averages. Eight of the 20 goals scored by both teams in their last six meetings alone (an average of 3.33 goals per game) have been attributed to Mexico. Naturally, there’s no guarantee that this pattern will continue throughout the game against Ecuador, especially considering that Mexico’s players’ mistakes could keep them from moving on to the next round since only Venezuela has a guaranteed spot out of this group. For this reason, betting sites in Mexico put “El Tri” in the position of a light outsider.

The current form of Ecuador

After defeating Jamaica 3-1 in its previous Copa América match, Ecuador will enter this one high on confidence. Ecuador had 45% of the possession in that game and made 23 shots on goal, three of which were on target. At the other end, Jamaica had seven shots on goal, four of which were on target.

The stats speak for themselves: in six of its previous six games, Ecuador has allowed goals, failing to prevent opponents from scoring eight times in total. Ecuador’s weaknesses have been shown in the back, and that might deny it a progression to the next stage when all sums up.

Head-to-head

Examining their previous head-to-head matches dating back 10 years, Mexico has won three of them, Ecuador has won two, and there has been one tie. Over this span, eight goals were created by Mexico and 10 goals for Ecuador, for a total combined of 18 goals shared. This has averaged three goals per game.

Match analytics

We believe that both Mexico and Ecuador can net here. A draw might very easily occur. Therefore, we anticipate a fiercely contested match under 3.5 goals in total in which Ecuador will triumph in 90 minutes.

Tip: Match Result with Over/Under – Ecuador and Under 3.5, with odds of +200 at NorthStar Bets (formerly Spreads.ca).