Medvedev vs. Sinner Prediction on March 29, 2024

Match info

In the 2024 Miami Open, a men’s tennis ATP Masters 1000 event on the 2024 ATP Tour, the second-seeded Jannik Sinner will face the third-seeded and defending champion Daniil Medvedev in the semi-finals on Friday, March 29, at 1 PM local time on the outdoor hardcourt of Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, USA.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Sinner

After removing Tallon Griekspoor, Andrea Vavassori, and Christopher O’Connell out of his way, Sinner set up a quarter-final matchup with Tomáš Macháč. The Italian broke the serve to start, but his opponent quickly leveled the playing terms. Sinner won the following break to take a 4-3 lead and win the opening set. He took an early 5-1 lead in the second set and went on to win 6-4, 6-2 to advance to his fourth consecutive semi-final of the year.

The current form of Medvedev

Nicolas Jarry awaited Medvedev in the final eight after the Russian defeated Márton Fucsovics, Cameron Norrie, and Dominik Köpfer. It was instantly 3-1 in favor of Medvedev, who broke serve once more to seal the set after Jarry served to keep the match at 5-2. In the second set, both players maintained their consistency on the serve, forcing a tie-break in which Medvedev prevailed: 6-2, 7-6 (7).

Head-to-head encounters

When it comes to head-to-head, Medvedev leads Sinner 6-4. In the Australian Open final this year, however, the Italian defeated the Russian in five sets.

Match analytics

In an attempt to make it to their third consecutive final, Sinner and Medvedev have both performed admirably in Miami, just as they have throughout the season. Before taking the title in Rotterdam (2024 ABN AMRO Open), the Italian defeated Medvedev in the AO 2024 final. A few weeks ago at Indian Wells, Medvedev finished second.

In the past year, their rivalry has taken an intriguing turn. The Russian defeated Sinner for the sixth time in a row in the Miami Open final last year. However, the 22-year-old from South Tyrol has subsequently won their following four games. Despite having won 20 titles, Medvedev has only made it to the finals three times when defending his titles; he has never succeeded in defending them. No wonder top bookmakers for betting on tennis on the web awarded the role of the favorite to Sinner.

The only player to defeat Sinner this year is Carlos Alcaraz. If Medvedev wants to achieve the same as the Spaniard against Sinner, he’ll have to significantly elevate his game. Their recent performance gives the Italian player the advantage.

Our pick: the three-set victory for Sinner, i.e. “1-2“ within the “Correct Score“ market on Fairspin. The odds for such an outcome are set at 3.41.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Medvedev vs. Sinner 2:3