Legia Warszawa SA vs. FC Aktobe Prediction on July 10, 2025

Match info

It seems like the last men’s club football season concluded just yesterday, yet a new one is already underway. Qualifications for the three top-tier European competitions will kick off their first matches this week, and here we’ll focus on the following matchup: Legia Warszawa SA vs. FC Aktobe. The Polish and Kazakh sides will meet in the 1st Leg of the First Qualifying Round of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League, the 17th edition of Europe’s secondary club football tournament organized by the continent’s governing body, UEFA.

Here’s a complete, cohesive breakdown and prediction for the match, which will take place on Thursday, July 10, 2025, at 8 p.m. CEST (local time in Warsaw, Poland) at the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.

Meeting statistics

Current form: Legia Warszawa SA

• Domestic & friendlies: Mixed recent results—2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 6; goals fairly balanced (avg 1.67 scored/conceded)
• Highlights of off-season friendlies include 5–1 vs. Górnik Łęczna and a narrow 1–0 win vs. Jablonec—a solid offensive showing

• European pedigree: Regular presence in UEFA qualifiers; Polish Cup winners last campaign, but inconsistent in league form
• Every European sportsbook favors them with their odds

Current form: FC Aktobe

• Kazakh Premier League form: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently; home win 2–0 over Atyrau, and solid 3–0 away vs. Turan
• Scoring and conceding: Avg 1.5 goals for, ~1.2 against; offers fight, but defensive susceptibility remains
• Injuries & absences: Setbacks include key playmaker Idris Umayev being sidelined by visa issues, limiting creativity

Playing style: Legia Warszawa SA

• Play a balanced 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 formation—flexible between possession and direct wings
• Strong set-piece threat with Marc Gual, but now without Luquinhas among the top scorers
• Occasionally porous defense, conceding ~1.67 goals per game recently

Playing style: FC Aktobe

• Pragmatic 4-4-2 (sometimes 4-2-3-1) focused on counterattacks and wing-based transitions
• Lack creative spark without Umayev; relies on set-pieces and organized defensive blocks
• Vulnerable to quality possession and midfield pressure

Head-to-head

• Legia beat Aktobe twice in 2014 (1–0 away, 2–0 home) and continued undefeated
• Historic record favours Legia, especially at home, giving them a psychological edge

Match analytics

Expect Legia to control possession, exploit set-pieces, and maintain midfield dominance, which will lead to a two-goal margin win. Aktobe are likely to score on the break but will struggle to supercharge the goal difference.

Tip: Legia Warsaw win by goals: Yes 2, at 3.41 odds on Casobet.