Italy vs. Germany Prediction on March 20, 2025

Match info

Luciano Spalletti’s Italy and Julian Nagelsmann’s Germany square off in a European classic at Milan’s famed Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the 2024–25 UEFA Nations League – Quarter-finals for the League A. Given how well both sides have been playing so far, this is one of the most anticipated games in international football this year. Thursday, March 20, is when two of the most fiercely rivaled national teams in history will lock horns in what’s still a young international football competition featuring the senior men’s national teams of the member associations of UEFA, the sport’s governing body for Europe. The game will kick off at 8:45 p.m. local time.

Interestingly, according to the odds of some sportsbooks for online betting in Europe, Germany is a slight favorite in the match, while other operators give equal odds for the win of each side.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Italy

Italy earned 13 points after placing second in Group A2, only behind France. This was an outcome of the last group match in which France, narrowly, defeated “Azzurri” (The Blues) to take first place.

Italy has changed under Spalletti, who has improved the team’s performance since its Round of 16 loss to Switzerland in the most recent UEFA Euro. Before losing to France in the League A – Groups, Italy had won four of its last five games and drawn one.

In its six group games in the Nations League, “Azzurri” scored 13 goals and gave up eight. Given that Spalletti has called up Mateo Retegui and Moise Kean, Serie A’s top two goalscorers this season, for this pivotal game, the attacking figures could get much better.

The current form of Germany

Germany’s journey was considerably easier than Italy’s, as it dominated its group and finished five points ahead of the Netherlands. With four victories and two draws in the current Nations League, “Nationalelf” (National Eleven) is undefeated going into this game. Nagelsmann’s squad has been highly productive in attack, scoring 18 goals (an average of three per match) while conceding only four.

Germany’s chances of securing a positive result at Meazza look strong, given its away record in the tournament: one win and two draws, including a 2-2 draw against Hungary, with five goals scored and four conceded.

Head-to-head

The big rivalry between Italy and Germany had 37 “editions” since they first met in a friendly in 1923. Italy has a better record of 15 wins. Germany won 10 times, while 12 matches ended in a draw.

Match analytics

Given both teams’ attacking philosophies, this game should be a thrilling clash with an unanticipated conclusion. Both teams have scored in both of their two previous games, which concluded in a 5-2 triumph for Germany and a 1-1 draw. Our prediction for Italy vs. Germany is that both teams will score at least one goal because both coaches have an offensive strategy.

Tip: Both Teams To Score And Total Goals 2.5 – Yes and Over 2.5, with odds of 2.37 on LV BET.