Fenerbahçe vs. Efes Prediction on April 5, 2024

Match info

On Friday, April 5, at 8:45 PM, at Ülker Sports and Event Hall, we’ll witness the Turkish classic Fenerbahçe S.K. (formally Fenerbahçe Beko) vs. Anadolu Efes S.K. in the penultimate round (Week 33) of the 2023–24 EuroLeague (Turkish Airlines EuroLeague for sponsorship reasons) Regular Season.

Efes performed admirably in the last round, just like back in the old days (which aren’t so old though) and on the road during their recent victory in the highest-level European men’s basketball club competition. There’s only one way to follow those who have previously shattered every record, and that’s up. Efes generally have an opportunity to exploit an emotional breakdown of the home team of “Fener”.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Fenerbahçe

“Fener“ is ranked fifth, but it still has a chance, along with a few other clubs, to finish in the top four and earn home-court advantage in the postseason. However, they may conceivably still miss out on the top six. “The Yellow Canaries“ generally place a lot of significance on the game.

The squad commanded by Šarūnas Jasikevičius has previously won eight straight at home. Now comes the stat that’s amazing: they averaged 91 points each game while giving up 79 on their court. Bookmakers with Android apps think Fenerbahçe is the favorite in this aspect and that they’ll probably score over 87.5. In fact, their home loss to Crvena zvezda on January 2 saw them fail to score 87.5 last time. After that, they went on to score eight straight home games between 88 and 111 points.

The current form of Efes

On the other hand, Efes had a run of eight road games in a row without a victory until it was broken last week in Vitoria. There, they finally prevailed on an away court, pouring in 97 points to the Basques. When playing on the road, Efes average precisely 81 points while giving up more than 88. While it’s true that neither ASVEL nor Baskonia scored a lot against Efes in March, we won’t draw comparisons between these two sides and Fenerbahçe.

Right now, Efes’s EuroLeague standing is pretty dismal; they need to keep on winning in order to qualify for the Play-In round (they currently occupy the last position securing Play-In, which is 10th), but even two wins in the remaining two games of the Regular Season won’t ensure them anything because Partizan have more superior results. Efes must, in essence, triumph and pray.

By the way, Tomislav Mijatović’s players have already defeated Fenerbahçe once this season; the victory came in the Turkish Championship in December, which followed Dimitrios Itoudis’ dismissal. After that, Jasikevičius twice overcame Efes as a new head coach.

Head-to-head encounters

This season, these two met three times. „Fener“ won twice, Efes once.

Fenerbahçe had more assists and rebounds than Efes in each of the previous three games. They started outperforming Efes in three-pointers when Jasikevičius sat on the bench. Fenerbahçe did it in the December Euroleague game, 12-4, and in the February Turkish Cup final, 14-8.

Match analytics

Eight straight home victories of Fenerbahçe is too many, in our opinion, and it’s a run that just awaits to be broken. Furthermore, we still clearly recall how it looks like when Efes decides to close out the Regular Season on their own terms and enter the Playoffs at a time when everyone else has already given up on them.

To put it briefly, we don’t predict Efes losing this game but we suggest that you focus on the Handicap market, such as “Handicap (incl. overtime) 5.5 on Efes” with odds of 1.99 at Slots N Bets.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Fenerbahçe vs. Efes 80:90