FC Bayern München vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction on September 28, 2024

Match info

On Saturday, September 28, at 6:30 p.m. local time, the top two teams in the men’s football 2024–25 Bundesliga ranking will face off at the Allianz Arena in what might be a pivotal match of the season. When FC Bayern München takes on Bayer 04 Leverkusen, they’ll be looking for payback after the Bavarian giants’ decade-long dominance over the German title ended the previous season. To be clear from the start, we’ll be picking the home club to win this Round 5 encounter. There’s no need to contradict online bookmakers on this: Pin-Up.bet awarded 1.73 odds on Bayern’s win and 4.43 on the visitors’ win.

Meeting statistics

The current form of FC Bayern München

With four victories in the Bundesliga so far this season, Vincent Kompany has had an outstanding start to his managerial life in Munich. If anyone was wondering why Bayern were given the role of the favorites for the title before the season by German bookmakers, now they got the answer. Bayern have now scored 16 goals, making them the competition’s highest-scoring side.

“Die Bayern” (the Bavarians) have a stellar record when playing the team in second place while leading the league. They’ve gone 16 games without losing, with their most recent setback occurring against Wolfsburg in January 2015. With four wins under their belt and a goal differential of +13, Bayern are off to a joint-best start to a Bundesliga season.

The current form of Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Although Leverkusen had a historic Bundesliga season the previous year, their lengthy domestic winning streak came to an end in 2024–2025 when they lost 2-3 to RB Leipzig on Matchweek 2. This weekend, they’ll play an exciting matchup against the team they pushed on the sidelines to win the German top flight a few months back. After watching their lengthy winning streak come to an end prior to the international break, “Die Werkself” (the Factory Team) recovered admirably. The side coached by Xabi Alonso has won the previous two.

It might be important to note that Leverkusen have defeated Bayern in each of their last three league games. They’ve never had a longer winning streak versus the top German team. Leverkusen, unlike Bayern, will need to improve their defensive play after giving up nine goals in their first four games. Since 2014–15, that’s the poorest defensive record possible at this point.

Head-to-head

Bayern have absolute dominance over Leverkusen in head-to-heads with 28 wins against nine in 47 matches. Ten duels ended with a tie.

Match analytics

This showdown in Germany’s first division on Saturday promises to be very exciting. Nonetheless, it’s difficult to ignore Bayern’s stellar start to the campaign. As a result, the team that defeated them to win the Bundesliga title the previous season may face some early retaliation from the hosts, both in losing points and getting the ball out of their net on several occasions.

Tip: Handicap – Bayern Munich -1.5, with odds of 2.63 on weiss.bet.