Domen Prevc vs. Ryōyū Kobayashi Prediction on February 9, 2026

Match info

The normal hill individual in Olympic ski jumping showcases pure explosive power and technique, with a hill that places greater emphasis on precision, timing, and flight control than on sheer distance. Unlike large hill events where airtime dominates, the normal hill rewards athletes who can generate maximum lift right at the take-off and maintain aerodynamic form while reacting precisely to wind and in-run speed shifts.

For those researching seasonal previews and how various betting platforms stack up for major Olympic skiing events, the section dedicated to the 2026 Winter Olympics offers informational overviews and bookmaker comparisons in one place — without directing specific bets — ahead of flagship competitions like this one in Predazzo.

A medal-deciding event for men’s normal hill individual – the final round consisting of two races – will commence on Monday, February 9, 2026, at 20:12 Central European Time (CET, local time) — an evening competition under lights at the Predazzo Ski Jumping Arena (Stadio del salto “Giuseppe Dal Ben”) in the village of Predazzo, Italy. This is a setting familiar from previous World Cups and World Championships, known for its technical challenge and passionate fan atmosphere.

Meeting statistics

Current form and & playstyle: Domen Prevc

The Slovenian ski jumper has been the standout performer across the 2025-26 season of the FIS Ski Jumping World Cup — leading in overall points, winning events, and establishing himself as arguably the most consistent jumper in men’s competition.

He combines explosive in-run power with a remarkably smooth takeoff and a stable flight position that maximizes distance without increasing the risk of instability. Prevc’s ability to adapt his technique to both flat wind conditions and crosswinds has helped him stay near the top of the standings and positioned him as a heavy favorite heading into the normal hill finals.

Current form & playstyle: Ryōyū Kobayashi  

The Japanese ski jumper is a perennial medal contender and a former Olympic gold and silver medalist in normal hill competition. Though not leading the current World Cup standings, his all-around technical excellence — marked by powerful takeoffs and remarkable mid-air stability — ensures he’s never far from podium contention.

Kobayashi’s racing identity blends precision with adaptability: when in-run rhythm is perfect, and wind lines behave, he routinely posts jumps that challenge for victory thanks to his smooth aerodynamic posture and physical strength.

Note: Beyond the top two, a younger jumper like Anže Lanišek serves as an intriguing dark horse. While not as consistent as his fellow countrymen Prevc or Kobayashi, he has earned top finishes in World Cup rounds with his aggressive launch style and excellent takeoff angles. If conditions favor sudden gusts, or if one of the favorites has an off day with wind or technique, Lanišek’s powerful drive and ability to catch longer flight phases make him a credible surprise podium challenger.

Head-to-head

In head-to-head matchups this season, Prevc’s combination of form and results gives him a statistical edge over Kobayashi. Prevc leads comfortably in World Cup points and recent Four Hills results, affirming his consistency and confidence entering major tournaments. Kobayashi, though slightly behind in the standings, brings championship experience — including Olympic normal hill medals — and thrives under pressure.

Their rivalry reflects two different strengths: Prevc as the season’s hottest jumper, and Kobayashi as the seasoned champion who peaks in big events. This dynamic suggests that while Prevc is slightly more likely to win, Kobayashi is a highly credible challenger who could outperform expectations.

Match analytics

Kobayashi, with his Olympic pedigree and refined technique make him the most likely jumper to challenge Domen Prevc for the top spot. However, our prediction leans toward Prevc. His season-long momentum and recent victories make him the presumptive favorite for normal hill gold at Predazzo.

Tip: Winner: Domen Prevc (look at Betlive for odds).

Note: For now, there are no odds for men’s normal hill individual at Milano Cortina 2026.