Daniil Medvedev vs. Taylor Fritz Prediction on November 10, 2024

Match info

On Sunday, November 10, the 2024 ATP Tour’s top-ranked men’s tennis singles players and doubles teams will begin their season-ending competition, which will continue for one week. Eight players, split into two groups of four each, will compete in the 2024 ATP Finals, also known as the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals due to sponsorship, on an indoor hard court at Turin, Italy’s Inalpi Arena. Daniil Medvedev and Taylor Fritz will face off at the beginning of the Ilie Nastase group competition. This is the Bookmaker Expert’s prediction for the duel, which is scheduled at 2 p.m. local time, and a presentation of odds taken from the best bookmakers for tennis for some betting lines.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Daniil Medvedev

A past ATP Finals champion, Medvedev (ranked fourth in the ATP list and fourth-seeded at the ATP Finals), appears to have deteriorated somewhat in his play this year. The Russian hasn’t played his other Ilie Nastase group opponents this year, aside from his frequent defeats against Jannik Sinner. Two years ago in Cincinnati, he defeated Fritz in his lone previous match against him. He never met Alex de Minaur in 2024.

Medvedev is the only player to begin the tournament without a title, having a 45-19 record this year. Given that this is his last chance, he will try to give it his all and take the title. Or if not the title, then at least get out of the group and reach the semi-finals. Odds go in his favor for the upcoming match: 1.66 on his win at STARDA Casino; Fritz is 2.22.

The current form of Taylor Fritz

Fritz has won two titles so far this season and has a 49-21 record. His greatest accomplishment was making it to the US Open final when he was defeated by Sinner. Given his form and record against the other three players, Sinner is undoubtedly going to make it through this group as first-placed (1.5 on DRIP Casino), but Fritz might be the second man to join him in the last four.

On the strength of some strong performances this year, the sixth-ranked player in the ATP list (and the fifth-seeded player in the ATP Finals because Novak Djoković had to withdraw) secured his spot in Turin. At the US Open, in front of his home fans, he made it to his first Grand Slam final, and although he lost, it was a significant turning point in his career. Fritz and Tommy Paul also took home the bronze in the doubles competition at the Olympics in Paris. He also won a few singles titles and advanced to his first clay-court career final. For the first time in his career, he’s certain to finish the season in the top eight.

He’ll also be attending the ATP Finals for the second time. Two years ago, he made his debut and advanced to the semifinals.

Head-to-head

These two met only once on a professional tour. Two years ago in Cincinnati, Medvedev prevailed 2-0. They met on three other occasions at exhibition tournaments, and Fritz won all these matches.

Match analytics

Medvedev’s form is in decline throughout the entire year, while Fritz’s is heading upward. If we look at the October performances of both, the American has a better win-loss ratio: 4-2. As for Medvedev, he’s 3-4. So, we think that Fritz will triumph, but by no means in straight sets. Given that the group draw has just been concluded at the time of writing the betting thread, no lines for this match were released except for the moneyline win.

Tip: Correct score 1-2.

Results of the forecast

Forecast failed. Daniil Medvedev vs. Taylor Fritz 0:2