CR Flamengo vs. Peñarol Prediction on September 19, 2024

Match info

CR Flamengo and Peñarol will play in the first leg of the men’s football 2024 Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores—colloquially known as the Copa Libertadores—quarterfinals at the storied Maracanã (officially designated Estádio Jornalista Mario Filho). If you choose to place a bet on the match scheduled for Thursday, September 19, at 7 p.m. local time in Rio de Janeiro, you should pay particular attention to the home/away element. Flamengo play very differently in front of their own supporters and on the road. The odds of betting sites in Brazil have no dilemmas about the match-winner.

Meeting statistics

The current form of CR Flamengo

The host team defeated Bolívar at home by a score of 2-0 and lost 0-1 to them on the road in the previous round to reach this stage of South America’s top club football competition. Flamengo are a side that typically takes advantage of home surroundings. Over the course of the last 30 games overall, they’ve recorded six wins, two draws, and seven defeats away from home, scoring 20 goals and giving up 18; in comparison, they’ve recorded 11 wins, three draws, and only one loss at home, scoring 28 goals and giving up 10. In their most recent game for the Brasileirão Série A, Vasco da Gama managed to rip off a point from the “Rubro-Negro” (the Scarlet-Black) by drawing 1-1 at Maracanã. Flamengo have won all of the last four Copa Libertadores home games this season.

Given that they’ve scored in six of the last eight games in this competition, their offense has been prolific. One particular stretch of the team’s past 20 home games across all competitions sticks out, though: the final 14 minutes of the game saw them let up five of the 13 goals that ended up in their net.

With the burden of being one of the favorites to win the continental event, Flamengo make it to the round of 8. Notwithstanding some recent swings in the Brazilian Championship, the Rio de Janeiro club boasts an elite and seasoned group of players who are adept at handling the pivotal periods of the campaign: David Luiz, Alex Sandro, Bruno Henrique, etc. The coach Tite has been on a possession-controlling, pressure-applying approach that puts the opposition under duress the whole season in an effort to produce a dominant showing at home. The team is hoping for a result that will lead to further qualification, and the fans, who usually make a difference at Maracanã, will be there in force.

The current form of Peñarol

The away squad lost 0‑1 to The Strongest on the road and won 4‑0 at home in the rematch to advance to this stage of the Copa Libertadores. This is a team that plays competitively even when it’s away from home, as seen by its record of nine wins, two draws, and four defeats in its previous 30 games on the road, compared to 11 wins, three draws, and one loss at home. They saw off Rampla Juniors with a home 4-0 triumph in the Uruguayan Championship before the game against Flamengo. Peñarol have won one and lost three of the last four Copa Libertadores away games. Since they’ve scored goals in six of the previous eight games for this competition, their offense has been reliable in putting the ball into the net.

The superpower of Uruguayan football, Peñarol, is the team hoping to surprise in this match. The “Decano” have proven tenacious in the competition despite having a smaller roster than Flamengo, relying on a strong defense and swift counterattacks to defeat their opponents. They hope to leave Maracanã with a result that will allow them to decide the classification for the semis in Montevideo, and they are aware that this leg will be critical to their aspirations. In away games, the coach, Diego Aguirre, has been taking a more cautious tack, emphasizing aggressive marking and taking advantage of the flaws of the opposition.

Head-to-head

These two clubs haven’t faced each other in the last five years. The last time they met was on May 9, 2019, in a match that finished with the final result of 0‑0. A month before that, the Uruguayans prevailed 1-0. Both encounters were for the Copa Libertadores.

Match analytics

In Flamengo’s first quarterfinal meeting with Peñarol, they should apply pressure to a well-positioned Uruguayan defense. The Brazilians should take the offensive position in order to secure an easy victory before the second leg. Peñarol, on the other hand, can delay the opening momentum and, with their tactical discipline, cause problems for the Rio team. It’s anticipated that Flamengo will be able to exert pressure and win, albeit with difficulty, since Peñarol will likely drag the argument into the second leg. Consequently, we think that under 2.5 goals scored, in addition to the home side’s win, is the best option considering the difficulties of the encounter.

Tip: 1X2 And Under/Over – 1 And Under 2.5, with odds of 3.1 at Cbet.gg.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. CR Flamengo vs. Peñarol 0:1