Coco Gauff vs. Sofia Kenin Prediction on March 21, 2025

Match info

Coco Gauff will face Sofia Kenin in the Round of 64 of the 2025 Miami Open – Women’s Singles (the tournament is referred to as the Miami Open presented by Itaú 2025 for sponsorship purposes and is part of the WTA 1000 events on the WTA Tour) on Friday, March 21, at 11 a.m. local time on one of the outdoor hardcourts at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, in an all-American matchup between two former Grand Slam champions.

Against the underdog Kenin (ranked 46th in the world), Gauff (ranked third) is the favorite to advance to the Round of 32 as per the odds of any online bookmaker you choose, and which is ranked as the best tennis betting site.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Coco Gauff

Coco Gauff, who got a bye in the first round of the singles draw here in Miami, has had a difficult time since her run to the Australian Open – Quarterfinals at the beginning of the year. In the last three events she took part in, she has failed to get past the round of 16.

Given that the Atlanta-born 21-year-old has lost her opening round match in two of her last three singles competitions and lost in straight sets to fellow countrywoman McCartney Kessler in her debut match at the Dubai Tennis Championships in February (4-6, 5-7), Gauff might be worn out of playing against someone with Kenin’s pedigree.

With 104 double faults in 2025, the 2023 US Open winner has frequently been her own worst adversary. This figure of double faults negates her 69 aces. With a high percentage of 73.3 for the year, her first serve is still comparatively excellent, but her second serve performance drops dramatically to 38.6%. In addition, she has won 73.9% of her service games this year by saving 57.6% of her break points. However, Gauff has won 45.7% of her return points and converted 56.1% of her break points in 2025; therefore, it’s a little strange that she hasn’t performed as well in recent events.

The current form of Sofia Kenin

Kenin defeated Petra Kvitová 6-4, 7-5 in straight sets to reach this stage, securing a rematch from the Australian Open’s January opening round. Here in Miami, Kenin already made amends for losing unexpectedly to American qualifier Katie Volynets in the very first round of last year’s edition of the tournament. The 2020 Australian Open winner, who has an 88% first serve percentage and a 71% first serve winning percentage, defeated her opponent’s 13 aces on Wednesday. In addition to winning four of her six break-point attempts, she committed very few mistakes—just one double fault, for instance.

The 26-year-old, who was born in Moscow, Russia, has won her first match in her past four singles tournament outings since losing in the first round at the AO in January. She won 75.1% of her service games overall and 65.4% of her first-serve games, giving her a 70.5 first-serve percentage for the year. As of this point in the year, Kenin has only won 27.5% of her return games, while saving 54.5% of her break points in 2025.

Head-to-head

Gauff’s serve was too strong for Kenin in their January encounter at Rod Laver Arena when she earned 77% of her opening serves and hit 12 aces to defeat Kenin easily. These two squared off four times thus far, and each has two wins.

Match analytics

Although these women have put up a fight whenever faced one another, we think Gauff, who’s one of the best in the world when her serve is on, will be inspired by her early tournament exits and sweep her rival in straight sets.

Tip: Set Betting – 2:0, with odds of 1.86 on Betcoin.ag.