Bayern vs. RB Leipzig Prediction on May 20, 2023

Match info

On Saturday night (May 20) at Allianz Arena in Munich at 6:30 PM, there will be a noticeable tension in the match between FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig. That’s because “Der FCB“, even though they lead the German men’s football 2022-23 Bundesliga rankings by one point, are still struggling with their fiercest rivals Borussia Dortmund for the title, two rounds before the season’s conclusion. For Bayern, which had developed a reputation for eliminating any suspense as the final days drew near and rapidly claiming the title of German champion, this is a circumstance that hasn’t happened in quite a while.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Bayern

Bayern Munich are just two victories away from tightening their grip on the Bundesliga as only one point separates them from Dortmund at the top of the standings heading into the penultimate round. Since Bayern and FC Schalke 04 were tied for first place in points at this point in 2010, this has turned out to be the closest title fight in more than a decade. While Bayern got over “The Royal Blues“ by five points on that occasion, they’d definitely be happy with any advantage this time around.

Bayern should benefit greatly by returning to a full Allianz Arena for the final time this season. The team has responded to a three-game home winless streak by scoring eight straight goals in two Bundesliga victories (W2, D2, L1). The impressive Bavarians have scored in each of their previous 56 home league contests, but unsettlingly, the most recent game in which they didn’t was a scoreless tie precisely with RB Leipzig in 2020.

The starting XI for Thomas Tuchel will still need to accommodate a number of absences. Indeed, a well-stocked hospital is filled with goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, starting center-forward Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (10 league goals), vice-world champion Dayot Upamecano, starting defender Lucas Hernandez, left-back Alphonso Davies, and Josip Stanišić, who’s not so important for the team play. The former PSG F.C. coach can still rely on high-quality tools, though, and justify expectations set by the Bundesliga’s best betting sites.

The current form of RB Leipzig

“The Red Bulls“ have a strong motive to keep Bayern at bay once more as well because a win would guarantee them a spot in the top four with one round remaining and, more significantly, a spot in the Champions League for the following season. If SC Freiburg lose to VfL Wolfsburg, that situation may already be all but decided, but getting the best finish and prize money is still worthwhile. Not to mention the significance of keeping up the momentum (three straight Bundesliga wins) before their DFB Pokal final against Eintracht Frankfurt on June 3.

RB Leipzig’s current four-game winning streak will probably depend on their tenacious backline performing at their peak as they have for the majority of the season. In fact, they’ve only allowed a league-low 284 shots from opponent teams, and only 99 of those were on target, for remarkable per-game averages of 8.88 and 3.09, respectively.

The Spanish midfielder Dani Olmo, who was forfeited the previous week during his team’s triumph over SV Werder Bremen, was able to rejoin the group. The long-term injured goalie Péter Gulácsi, who won’t return to the field until next season, is excused for the match against Bayern.

Head-to-head encounters

In 15 of their 16 competitive head-to-head meetings with Bayern, RB Leipzig have lost (W1, D6, L9), including their longest active winless streak against any team (D5, L6).

Match analytics

With just three of their past 20 games falling into the high-scoring category, Bayern rarely participate in home games with four or more goals. Only two of RB Leipzig’s most recent 20 top-flight away games have resulted in more than 3.5 goals, so any departure from this pattern would come as a bit of a surprise. Hence, we predict Bayern to win & total goals under 3.5 at odds of 2.75 on Zodiacbet.

Results of the forecast

Forecast failed. Bayern vs. RB 1:3