Austria vs. Turkey Prediction on July 2, 2024

Match info

At the men’s 2024 UEFA European Football Championship in Germany, Austria and Turkey square off in what should be an exciting Round of 16 match at Leipzig’s Red Bull Arena on Tuesday, July 2, at 9 p.m. local time. Can an adventurous Turkey side be thwarted by Ralph Rangnick’s impressive Austria? See our expert Austria vs. Turkey betting recommendations and suggested odds of betting sites in Austria and beyond for the match below. Check out our football betting tips webpage for other free Euro 2024 predictions.

Meeting statistics

One of the most captivating teams at Euro 2024 is Austria, whose attack-oriented style of play has yielded nine goals in its last two group-stage matches combined. In its match against Turkey, the 9/10 favorite Austria is unlikely to let up, which might lead to another thrilling match developing in Leipzig.

Thus far, Turkey has been quite inconsistent; while it has won two of the three group tests, it has lost the xG (expected goals) battle in all but one of its opening missions. For the first time since 2008, “Ay-Yıldızlılar” (the “Crescent-Stars”) are participating in the continental championship knockout stages. They are placed as 10/3 underdogs to win on Tuesday.

Due to his yellow card from last week’s match against the Netherlands, Patrick Wimmer will miss Tuesday’s match for "Das Team" ("The Team") due to suspension. Michael Gregoritsch, Christoph Baumgartner, and Konrad Laimer might all be brought back to the XI by Rangnick.

On Tuesday, Turkey’s chances will be severely harmed by the absence of suspended players Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Samet Akaydin. Against Austria, nine different Turkish players will have to tread carefully when it comes to discipline. In case they progress to the quarterfinals, Vincenzo Montella will have to brainstorm a starting XI.

Head-to-head

As recently as March 26, Austria filled Turkey’s net to the top with six goals in an international friendly match; it will be interesting to watch if that recent humiliation will have any impact on Turkey’s play in Tuesday’s round of 16 match.

Match analytics

Two of Austria’s three group games and all of Turkey’s games resulted in three goals or more. In two of Austria’s and two of Turkey’s three group-stage matches, both teams scored. Rangnick’s elegant Austrian team is playing with enough confidence to launch a series of attacks on Turkey. The Austrians won their most recent match, against the Netherlands, but only after conceding twice. Nevertheless, a Turkish team that scored five goals in three group assignments could have a chance to respond.

Hence, we predict that Austria will win through a goal-filled duel: Match result/number of goals – 1/Over (3.5), with odds of 5.20 at BetX.