Argentina vs. Peru Prediction on June 29, 2024

Match info

On Saturday, June 29, there will be more men’s football 2024 Copa América action when Argentina takes on Peru in the last, third round of Group A. Below are our predictions, statistics, and match poll for Argentina vs. Peru (8 p.m. local time at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida, USA), along with the most recent betting values set by Argentina betting sites.

Meeting statistics

The current form of Argentina

Supporters of Argentina will want to see their national team repeat its previous performance against Chile, which ended in a 1-0 triumph. Argentina had a 61% possession rate, and nine of their 22 shots on goal were on target throughout that game. Lautaro Martínez scored for Argentina in the 88th minute. Three of all Chile’s shots on goal were on target.

The more recent “La Albiceleste” scorelines effectively demonstrate the degree of stability their defense has demonstrated. Argentina hasn’t given much to the opposition; in its last six meetings, just two goals have passed its goalkeeper.

The current form of Peru

After losing to Canada in its most recent 2024 Copa América match, Peru and its visiting supporters will be hoping for a better outcome in the next game in the United States. “La Blanquirroja” had 49% of the possession in that game, and four of their nine attempts on goal were on target. Conversely, Canada managed to get five shots on goal, of which two were on target. In the disputed game, Canada’s Jonathan David scored in the 74th minute.

There has been a noticeable trend lately where at least one team in games involving Peru has managed to keep a clean sheet. It turns out that this has happened five times in their last six games. In those matches, Peru has scored seven goals, while the other teams have managed just one goal. Naturally, there’s no guarantee that kind of tendency will continue into the game against Argentina.

Head-to-head

Reviewing their previous head-to-head matches, if we sample encounters after October 2013, it’s clear that Peru hasn’t fared well in these matches. Argentina has just been stronger than them, winning in 67% of those ties, while Peru has been unable to win any games at all. In these matches, these two rivals combined to score 13 goals, with “La Albiceleste” scoring 10 and “La Blanquirroja” scoring three. There were 2.17 goals scored on average per game.

The two teams’ most recent meeting took place on October 18, 2023, during the fourth day of the South American World Cup Qualifiers. Argentina won 2-0. Peru had 34% of the play that day and had six shots on goal, but none of them were on target. Six of Argentina’s 10 attempts on goal were on target. Minutes 32 and 42 saw Lionel Messi score.

Match analytics

We believe that when Argentina lines up against Peru, it will probably score more than once, since Peru may find it tough to find the back of the net. Even though Peru sorely needs to win, our prediction is that Argentina will win by a comfortable two-goal margin when the full-time whistle blows. In addition, Peru’s fate will mostly rest on the other match of the last day in the group: Canada vs. Chile.

Final verdict: Handicap Argentina (-1.5) with odds of 2.39 on ComeOn.