Evil Geniuses vs. Cloud9 Prediction on February 10, 2023

Match info

Group Stage of LoL’s League Championship Series Spring 2023 (USA) resumes with the biggest derby of all derbies in the region. The Evil Geniuses will take on Cloud9 at 4 PM local time on Friday, February 10, at LCS Studio, Los Angeles, California.

Meeting statistics

The most intriguing team in America, not necessarily the greatest though, will debut in 2023 against the reigning champions Cloud9. After the success they both experienced in 2022, it makes a lot of sense that both teams erred on the side of caution when it came to postseason roster alterations. You’ll notice caution at any LoL betting site you come across as there’s little disparity in odds between these two sides in terms of a win.

While C9 lost Nicolaj “Jensen“ Jensen and added an unknown EU Masters mid-laner Dimitri “Diplex“ Ponomarev, EG switched out one veteran Korean top-laner (Jeong “Impact“ Eon-young) for another (Kim “Ssumday“ Chan-ho). In actuality, both teams changed their coaching staffs considerably more than they did their playing rosters. This is far more difficult to evaluate, so moving forward in the analysis, we’re going to largely ignore it.

Of course, Cloud 9 won the LCS last year, and even if Diplex turns out to be a step back from Jensen, C9 is still the squad to make wins now. However, EG weren’t far behind them and had an advantage over C9 in several of the individual games. You might argue that EG performed better internationally as well, but because only one team made it to MSI the previous year and both teams had dismal records of 1-5 in their Worlds group matches, the argument is moot. EG performed slightly better at home. Definitely not enough to change this prediction in either direction.

Since we anticipate Ssumday to fit into EG’s roster as if nothing has changed, it really boils down to how Diplex fits into the C9 roster. He’s such a comparable player to Impact that if you open their data in two tabs and cover the names up, you’d be hard-pressed to identify which is whose. Both players have played professionally in over 600 games, and they both favor tanks with a fair amount of carries thrown in. Both of them have played Gnar more than any other champion, with Ssumday’s Renekton coming in second (by one game). You may argue that becoming the main Renekton player is an improvement given the state of the metagame.

The latest results of Evil Geniuses:

• Victory over Dignitas with a score of 1-0.
• Victory over Team SoloMid with a score of 1-0.
• Lost from Counter Logic Gaming with a score of 0-1.
• Victory over Golden Guardians with a score of 1-0.
• Lost from Dplus Kia with a score of 0-1.

The latest results of Cloud9:

• Lost from FlyQuest eSports with a score of 0-1.
• Victory over Counter Logic Gaming with a score of 1-0.
• Victory over Golden Guardians with a score of 1-0.
• Victory over 100 Thieves with a score of 1-0.
• Lost from T1 with a score of 0-1.

Head-to-head encounters

Looking at the last 10 mutual encounters, EG have a slight advantage, prevailing in six.

Match analytics

Diplex is the lone unknown, thus we give EG a little advantage just because we anticipate fewer teething problems for them early in the split. Yet, given it’s so near, we have absolutely no confidence in this prognosis. We had to make one, right?

Efbet put odds of 1.98 on the win of EG.

Results of the forecast

Successful forecast. Evil Geniuses vs. Cloud9 1:0