Novak Djoković

Rafael Nadal

 Roland Garros 2021
Roland Garros 2021
First match result
vs

Djoković vs Nadal: prediction and bets on Roland Garros 2021, June 11, 2021

Match info

On Friday, June 11, at 4:30 p.m. Moscow time, Novak Djoković will face Rafael Nadal in the semifinals of the men’s tennis Grand Slam tournament on clay – the Roland Garros 2021.

Meeting statistics

Probably the biggest rivalry in modern men’s tennis, which features the Serb Djoković and the Spaniard Nadal, will get its new, the 58th, episode in the semifinals of this year’s Roland Garros. The 58th “Rafole” will also be a fight for the final at the second Grand Slam of the season.

The current form of Djoković

Djoković, just like his rival, had a good start to his week in Paris, winning three matches in straight sets. The Serb then came back from a two-set deficit to win in five sets in the fourth round against Lorenzo Musetti. The Italian was forced to withdraw, having 0-4 in the last set, allowing the world No.1 to advance to the quarterfinals. The Serb then put on a masterful performance in the quarterfinals against Matteo Berrettini, winning the first two sets with ease. However, he lost a third-set tiebreaker against the Italian, with the momentum seemed to be moving in Berrettini’s favor. Due to the COVID-19 curfew rules in Paris, the play was paused to remove supporters from the stadium and when the match resumed, Djoković was back in high gear. He put pressure on Berrettini’s service games and the Italian finally broke while serving to keep the match alive at 5-6. However, as rarely, Djoković will enter the upcoming match with not much but still with fewer chances than the opponent, which he will certainly take and use as motivation and a resource for additional energy on the court in an attempt to win the match for his second title at the French Open but also for reducing the difference in the number of Grand Slam titles won compared to Nadal (20-18 for Nadal).

The current form of Nadal

Against his arch-rival, Nadal will resume his quest for a record-breaking 14th Roland Garros title. Nadal started his campaign in Paris in dominating form, winning his first four matches without dropping a set. When he captured the first set of his quarterfinal match against Diego Schwartzman, he appeared to be on his way to another easy triumph. The Argentine, on the other hand, fought back to win the second set 6-4 (the first set Nadal had lost at this year’s tournament). Midway through the third set, the Spaniard rediscovered his groove and broke Schwartzman in the ninth game before serving out the set to love. From there, it was all Nadal as he blitzed the Argentine in the fourth set to claim his 105th claycourt Grand Slam title.

Head-to-head encounters

In the previous 57 duels of the two tennis masters, Djoković has celebrated once more (29-28) but that advantage has been reduced in the previous period because Nadal won the last two mutual duels (the recent one in the final of Rome and at Roland Garros in last year’s final). Although the Serb has been the sovereign ruler and number one of world tennis for a long time, recently went down in history as the tennis player with the most weeks at the top of the ATP list, against Nadal (3rd in the world) at Roland Garros no one can be called the favorite, not even to have any kind of advantage over the duel with the man who won the tournament in Paris as many as 13 times. Clay in the Boulogne Forest is without a doubt the place where Nadal feels best and where he won seven of the eight duels played against Djoković. The only victory the Serb took was in 2015, in the quarterfinals (later he lost the final to Wawrinka). Out of a total of 26 matches played on a red surface, the Spanish player won 19.

Match analytics

Djoković will need to employ his angled crosscourt shots to open up the court, as well as the drop shot to get Nadal off the baseline. If the Serb is to beat the ‘King of Clay’ on rival's favorite hunting ground, his first serve, which has given him a lot of free points so far, will have to be as precise as possible. From the back of the court, Nadal has been electrifying, hitting 86 winners in the competition so far. The Spaniard, on the other hand, has struggled with his serve, double-faulting at vital times and completely missing his places. Nadal will have to step up his game against Djoković, who is regarded as the top returner on the tour. Having said that, by the time he encounters top players at Grand Slam finishes, Nadal usually has ironed out all the kinks in his game. The Spaniard has never lost at this stage in Paris and should be able to pull through one again.

So, Nadal is expected to win in five sets for which Pin-Up.bet, one of the bookmakers with betting bonuses, prepared an odd of 5.10.

Results of the forecast

Forecast failed. Winner Novak Djoković

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